Press Release

Issued by Bombardier Aviation.

July 13, 2014

Today, Bombardier released its annual 20-year forecasts for the business and commercial aircraft markets.

While the world economy has grown at a slower than expected rate, signs of improvement in the business and commercial aircraft markets have started to emerge. Business indicators are pointing towards a gradual industry recovery. New aircraft orders are supported by continued demand from established markets - such as North America and Europe - and growth potential in emerging markets, which are forecasted to play an increasing role in the global aviation marketplace. China is expected to be the second largest region in terms of commercial aircraft deliveries in the 20- to 149-seat segment, and the third for business aircraft over the next 20 years. Also, as environmental concerns continue to gain importance and high fuel prices add pressure to the bottom line, operators across both industries will remain focused on finding more efficient and sustainable solutions.

"At Bombardier, we have a long and proud tradition of pushing the boundaries of technology, and developing the next generation of aircraft that will better meet the needs of our customers - both today, and tomorrow," said Michael McAdoo, vice president, strategy and international development, Bombardier Aerospace. "As such, Bombardier Aerospace with its new category-defining business and commercial programs is well-positioned to strengthen its leadership position in its current markets."

Business Aircraft Market Forecast

Bombardier is confident in the strong, long-term potential of the business aircraft industry and forecasts a total of 22,000 business jet deliveries from 2014 to 2033 in the segments in which Bombardier competes(i) representing approximately $617 billion US(ii) in industry revenues. Bombardier's Business Aircraft Market Forecast anticipates 9,200 aircraft deliveries, worth $264 billion US between 2014 and 2023, and 12,800 aircraft, worth $353 billion US, from 2024 to 2033.

The market for business aviation continues to show promising signs of recovery. While current macroeconomic indicators are mixed, the overall trend for the world economy is stable to positive. In 2014, the world GDP is expected to grow by 2.9 per cent, with higher growth expected in 2015 onward. Industry order intake saw incremental improvement in 2013 over 2012, allowing the industry to record a book-to-bill ratio of one for the second year in a row. Industry deliveries are expected to increase slightly in 2014 from 2013 based on the delivery guidance of manufacturers and new aircraft programs.

Business aircraft orders are expected to remain challenging in 2014 across the industry, but projected to improve beginning in 2015. It is also anticipated that with demand for business jets shifting towards emerging markets, the fleet of large and medium category aircraft will grow, with the large aircraft category demonstrating the fastest growth.

Over the forecast period, Bombardier predicts North America will receive the greatest number of new business jet deliveries between 2014 and 2033, followed by Europe, which remains the second largest market. China is forecast to become the third largest region in terms of deliveries over the next 20 years with 950 deliveries from 2014 to 2023, and 1,275 deliveries from 2024 to 2033.

Bombardier predicts that - similar to commercial aviation - future challenges facing the business aviation sector include rising fuel prices and increased environmental awareness. To face these challenges, Bombardier continues to invest in innovative, more efficient transportation solutions through its new aircraft development programs that include the Global 7000, Global 8000 and Learjet 85 aircraft.

(i) Bombardier's competitive segmentation includes Light, Medium and Large categories. Excludes very light jets and large corporate airliners.

(ii) Unit values are based on B&CA magazine 2013 list prices expressed in US$.